The Heath Calhoun 400
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series returns to Richmond International Raceway for the tenth race of the 2010 season, The Heath Calhoun 400. This event will be one of the most exciting races of the year as drivers attempt to manage the tricky configuration of RIR's "long-short" track. We took a look at past performances, season trends, and talked to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field should finish on Saturday night.
When: Saturday, May 1, 2010; 7:46 p.m./et.
Weather: Partly cloudy with a high around 89; wind out of the SSW at 11 mph. Chance of precipitation 10%.
The Track: Richmond International Raceway
Richmond is a .75 mile D-shaped oval. It has fairly flat 14 degree banking in the turns and 8 degree banking on the straights.
Key to Race: SATURDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Saturday night racing seem to bring out the best and worst in NASCAR drivers and the Heath Calhoun 400 will be no different. There should be plenty of bent sheet metal and angry drivers when the checkers fly.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined during qualifying on Friday, April 30 at 5:40 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin had the best car at RIR in both races last season. The Virginia native is a great pick in his home state.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy has run excellent at RIR during his career. He has eight top five finishes in nine career starts.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson admitted in the past that RIR is a tough track for him, but he has won three of the last six races at the track.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has finished in the top 12 in 10 of the last 11 races at RIR. A top 10 finish is expected.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has finished in the top 11 in the past five races at Richmond. He is once again a very good option if he can avoid an incident with the 48 car.
6 to 10
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer won the May 2008 race at RIR and has finished worse than 12th just one time at the track during his career. This is a good weekend to use the No. 33 car.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has averaged a 12th place finish in 47 career starts at RIR and has finished in the top 20 in all but one of his last 18 starts at the track. He is a great pick on Saturday.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch won the fall race at RIR in 2005 and has finished in the top 10 in five of the past six races at the track. Another top 10 finish should be expected.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has been very successful at RIR in the past. He is worth taking a chance on.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: RIR is one of Truex's favorite tracks. He finished fifth at the track last May.
11 to 20
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has eight top five finishes and 14 top 10 finishes in 31 career starts at RIR. The Virginia Native is a solid pick this week.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Smoke has three career wins at RIR and has 15 top 10 finishes in 22 career starts. He hasn't won at the track since 2002 so he is due for another visit to victory lane.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has three career wins at RIR, including the May 2006 race. Look for No. 88 to finish in the top 15 this weekend.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth hasn't been great in the past four races at RIR, but we think he shouldn't have a problem cracking the top 20.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has finished eighth or better in five of the past 11 RIR races making him a great third driver on fantasy teams.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards hasn't had a great deal of success at RIR during his career. He will need lots of luck to crack the top 10.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has finished in the top 10 in five of the last 10 races at RIR. He is a fine pick this weekend.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers brought very fast cars to RIR last year. He is our top sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano was fast enough for top 20 finishes in both trips to Richmond last year. We should see similar results from him this weekend.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. surprised everyone with back-to-back to 10 finishes at Richmond last year. This is the weekend to use the No. 77.
21 to 30
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya appeared to have solved Richmond's tricky configuration last May. He should have the No. 42 car near the top 20 on Saturday.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose had no difficulty in his first Cup races at Richmond last year. The Terrific Tasmanian is worth using in most leagues this trip to the track.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has had decent success at RIR during his career. He should notch another top 25 finish.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan is still looking for consistency at RIR. In six career starts at the track he has finished 33rd, 23rd, 32nd, 17th, 3rd, and 20th. He will just miss a top 20 finish again on Saturday.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski blew an engine in his first trip to RIR last September. He will hopefully avoid going up in smoke on Saturday.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard has been much better than expected this season, but we see him finishing right around his career average at RIR.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: Even with his top 10 finish at RIR last May, this is one of McMurray's worst tracks. Avoid him!
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has averaged a 31st place finish during his career at RIR.
He should finish right near his average on Saturday.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Richmond is a track where Labonte has had decent success during his career. He shouldn't have an issue cracking the top 30 on Saturday.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has just one top 10 finish in 21 career starts at RIR. There are far less risky picks for Saturday's race.
31 to 34
No. 82 Scott Speed: Started the season with strong finishes, but has struggled a little lately. He needs a good run at RIR this weekend to remain in the top 35 in owner points.
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil shouldn't have an issue finishing inside the top 35.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon has basically been a low-30s finisher at RIR. We expect more of the same on Saturday.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith has had two decent runs at Richmond during his career. He isn't an option unless you are in a deep, deep league.
Field Fillers
No. 38 Kevin Conway
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 36 Casey Mears
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 09 Mike Bliss
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 32 Reed Sorenson
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 64 Tony Raines
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Denny Hamlin
2. Kyle Busch
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Kevin Harvick
Sleepers:
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Sam Hornish Jr.
Bust:
Jamie McMurray
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series returns to Richmond International Raceway for the tenth race of the 2010 season, The Heath Calhoun 400. This event will be one of the most exciting races of the year as drivers attempt to manage the tricky configuration of RIR's "long-short" track. We took a look at past performances, season trends, and talked to NASCAR contacts to shed a light on how the field should finish on Saturday night.
When: Saturday, May 1, 2010; 7:46 p.m./et.
Weather: Partly cloudy with a high around 89; wind out of the SSW at 11 mph. Chance of precipitation 10%.
The Track: Richmond International Raceway
Richmond is a .75 mile D-shaped oval. It has fairly flat 14 degree banking in the turns and 8 degree banking on the straights.
Key to Race: SATURDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Saturday night racing seem to bring out the best and worst in NASCAR drivers and the Heath Calhoun 400 will be no different. There should be plenty of bent sheet metal and angry drivers when the checkers fly.
Qualifying Procedures:
46 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined during qualifying on Friday, April 30 at 5:40 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin had the best car at RIR in both races last season. The Virginia native is a great pick in his home state.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy has run excellent at RIR during his career. He has eight top five finishes in nine career starts.
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson admitted in the past that RIR is a tough track for him, but he has won three of the last six races at the track.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick has finished in the top 12 in 10 of the last 11 races at RIR. A top 10 finish is expected.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon has finished in the top 11 in the past five races at Richmond. He is once again a very good option if he can avoid an incident with the 48 car.
6 to 10
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer won the May 2008 race at RIR and has finished worse than 12th just one time at the track during his career. This is a good weekend to use the No. 33 car.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has averaged a 12th place finish in 47 career starts at RIR and has finished in the top 20 in all but one of his last 18 starts at the track. He is a great pick on Saturday.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch won the fall race at RIR in 2005 and has finished in the top 10 in five of the past six races at the track. Another top 10 finish should be expected.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has been very successful at RIR in the past. He is worth taking a chance on.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: RIR is one of Truex's favorite tracks. He finished fifth at the track last May.
11 to 20
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has eight top five finishes and 14 top 10 finishes in 31 career starts at RIR. The Virginia Native is a solid pick this week.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: Smoke has three career wins at RIR and has 15 top 10 finishes in 22 career starts. He hasn't won at the track since 2002 so he is due for another visit to victory lane.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has three career wins at RIR, including the May 2006 race. Look for No. 88 to finish in the top 15 this weekend.
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth hasn't been great in the past four races at RIR, but we think he shouldn't have a problem cracking the top 20.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle has finished eighth or better in five of the past 11 RIR races making him a great third driver on fantasy teams.
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards hasn't had a great deal of success at RIR during his career. He will need lots of luck to crack the top 10.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne has finished in the top 10 in five of the last 10 races at RIR. He is a fine pick this weekend.
No. 83 Brian Vickers: Vickers brought very fast cars to RIR last year. He is our top sleeper pick this weekend.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano was fast enough for top 20 finishes in both trips to Richmond last year. We should see similar results from him this weekend.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. surprised everyone with back-to-back to 10 finishes at Richmond last year. This is the weekend to use the No. 77.
21 to 30
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya appeared to have solved Richmond's tricky configuration last May. He should have the No. 42 car near the top 20 on Saturday.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose had no difficulty in his first Cup races at Richmond last year. The Terrific Tasmanian is worth using in most leagues this trip to the track.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann has had decent success at RIR during his career. He should notch another top 25 finish.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan is still looking for consistency at RIR. In six career starts at the track he has finished 33rd, 23rd, 32nd, 17th, 3rd, and 20th. He will just miss a top 20 finish again on Saturday.
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski blew an engine in his first trip to RIR last September. He will hopefully avoid going up in smoke on Saturday.
No. 98 Paul Menard: Menard has been much better than expected this season, but we see him finishing right around his career average at RIR.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: Even with his top 10 finish at RIR last May, this is one of McMurray's worst tracks. Avoid him!
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has averaged a 31st place finish during his career at RIR.
He should finish right near his average on Saturday.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Richmond is a track where Labonte has had decent success during his career. He shouldn't have an issue cracking the top 30 on Saturday.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has just one top 10 finish in 21 career starts at RIR. There are far less risky picks for Saturday's race.
31 to 34
No. 82 Scott Speed: Started the season with strong finishes, but has struggled a little lately. He needs a good run at RIR this weekend to remain in the top 35 in owner points.
No. 34 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil shouldn't have an issue finishing inside the top 35.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon has basically been a low-30s finisher at RIR. We expect more of the same on Saturday.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith has had two decent runs at Richmond during his career. He isn't an option unless you are in a deep, deep league.
Field Fillers
No. 38 Kevin Conway
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 36 Casey Mears
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 09 Mike Bliss
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 32 Reed Sorenson
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 64 Tony Raines
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Denny Hamlin
2. Kyle Busch
3. Jimmie Johnson
4. Kevin Harvick
Sleepers:
1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Sam Hornish Jr.
Bust:
Jamie McMurray